Forecasting Chikungunya spread in the Americas via data-driven empirical approaches
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Nowcasting the Spread of Chikungunya Virus in the Americas
BACKGROUND In December 2013, the first locally-acquired chikungunya virus (CHIKV) infections in the Americas were reported in the Caribbean. As of May 16, 55,992 cases had been reported and the outbreak was still spreading. Identification of newly affected locations is paramount to intervention activities, but challenging due to limitations of current data on the outbreak and on CHIKV transmiss...
متن کاملLocal and regional spread of chikungunya fever in the Americas.
Chikungunya fever (CHIKV), a viral disease transmitted by mosquitoes, is currently affecting several areas in the Caribbean. The vector is found in the Americas from southern Florida to Brazil, and the Caribbean is a highly connected region in terms of population movements. There is therefore a significant risk for the epidemic to quickly expand to a wide area in the Americas. Here, we describe...
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Chikungunya fever (CHIKV), a viral disease transmitted by mosquitoes, is currently affecting several territories in the Caribbean. The vector is found in the Americas from South Florida to Brazil and the Caribbean is a highly connected region. There is therefore a significant risk for the epidemic to quickly expand to a wide area in the Americas, and of introduction to Europe where competent ve...
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This work proposes a data-driven method for enabling the efficient, stable time-parallel numerical solution ofsystems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The method assumes that low-dimensional bases that accurately capturethe time evolution of the dynamical-system state are available; these bases can be computed from snapshot data by properorthogonal decomposition (POD) in t...
متن کاملUnderstanding the evolution and spread of chikungunya virus in the Americas using complete genome sequences
Local transmission of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) was first detected in the Americas in December 2013, after which it spread rapidly throughout the Caribbean islands and American mainland, causing a major chikungunya fever epidemic. Previous phylogenetic analysis of CHIKV from a limited number of countries in the Americas suggests that an Asian genotype strain was responsible, except in Brazil wh...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Parasites & Vectors
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1756-3305
DOI: 10.1186/s13071-016-1403-y